Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.286117 3.664670 4.074914 4.553462 5.097522 5.698157 6.413282
2025-02-16 2.719547 3.225057 3.812793 4.550229 5.455780 6.537867 7.938344
2025-02-23 2.374280 2.947422 3.649902 4.581743 5.796542 7.341824 9.480825
2025-03-02 2.064580 2.655844 3.411108 4.458184 5.890427 7.807541 10.613102
2025-03-09 1.853042 2.456936 3.256050 4.406961 6.048689 8.347341 11.883080
2025-03-16 1.680883 2.287925 3.116299 4.350025 6.176686 8.839621 13.125266
2025-03-23 1.605971 2.242354 3.137207 4.514608 6.630785 9.843096 15.255479
2025-03-30 1.492873 2.130142 3.049511 4.505420 6.815205 10.447954 16.822674
2025-04-06 1.387305 2.018690 2.950999 4.466202 6.942132 10.966389 18.302284
2025-04-13 1.246568 1.842923 2.740295 4.229968 6.724056 10.889798 18.729253
2025-04-20 1.179184 1.773815 2.687316 4.239627 6.909603 11.506939 20.474565
2025-04-27 1.136676 1.739768 2.685694 4.331437 7.240611 12.408097 22.867835
2025-05-04 1.088988 1.695435 2.666290 4.395373 7.536521 13.293488 25.392751
2025-05-11 1.041971 1.648758 2.639321 4.443554 7.808882 14.167518 28.033967
2025-05-18 0.997911 1.603555 2.610826 4.485376 8.071960 15.052089 30.834651
2025-05-25 0.930523 1.514222 2.499917 4.367102 8.015683 15.293742 32.258168
2025-06-01 0.880382 1.451037 2.429757 4.317565 8.087065 15.800139 34.356383
2025-06-08 0.833493 1.390447 2.359811 4.262053 8.139793 16.271170 36.443625
2025-06-15 0.821997 1.391500 2.400572 4.422841 8.651386 17.791101 41.349882
2025-06-22 0.787263 1.348489 2.357324 4.413872 8.804051 18.531751 44.412707
2025-06-29 0.751130 1.300710 2.301906 4.375566 8.888946 19.126340 47.194300
2025-07-06 0.692919 1.208970 2.157809 4.144796 8.528293 18.635073 46.937232
2025-07-13 0.668518 1.179055 2.130303 4.154233 8.707330 19.457967 50.509980